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A comprehensive list of factors brings predictive stability and predictive stability and predictive power.
Robert Haugen
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In going directly to Investment Heaven, you build your portfolio as you would build a wonderful company through a merger and acquisition program. You specify the way you want your portfolio to look, and then you assemble the profile piece by piece by bringing together companies that make their own individual contributions to the desired character.
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In real-world Finance, they don't pay for elegance. They pay for power - predictive power.
Robert Haugen
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If we observe the performance of only those funds that remain active, we will tend to find that the average performance of the surviving funds exceeds that of the market.
Robert Haugen
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Less volatile stocks tend to have negative abnormal profits; more volatile stocks tend to have positive abnormal profits.
Robert Haugen
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The New Finance focused on the market's major systematic mistake. In failing to appreciate the strength of competitive forces in a market economy, it over estimates the length of the short run. In doing so, it overreacts to records of success and failure for individual companies, driving the prices of successful firms too high and their unsuccessful counterparts too low.
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So you see, in the end, it is nearly certain that the power of prediction must triumph over the arrogance of elegance.
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When you buy a lottery ticket, you don't know how tickets have been sold. But sold they have been. And there is an underlying distribution for the game.
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Although efficient markets people still go around saying there is a "mountain" of evidence supporting their hypothesis, the truth of the matter is that it's a very old mountain that's now eroding rapidly into the sea.
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CAPM also makes use of what is called a "definitional identity." This is something that is automatically true, simply because of the way things have been defined.
Robert Haugen
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Behaviorists tell us that we tend to overweight and overreact to the most recently received information. If we do, we will find that the information that we thought was so important becomes tempered, and reduced in significance, by new and related information that follows.
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The cheapness family is the most powerful of the five.
Robert Haugen
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The cheaper the stock, the better the outlook for future returns.
Robert Haugen
Quote of the day
Nobody ever did anything very foolish except from some strong principle.
William Lamb, 2nd Viscount Melbourne
Robert Haugen
Born:
June 26, 1942
Died:
January 6, 2013
(aged 70)
Bio:
Robert Arthur Haugen was a financial economist and a pioneer in the field of quantitative investing. He was President of Haugen Custom Financial Systems and also consulted and spoke globally.
Known for:
Modern investment theory (1986)
Beast on Wall Street (1999)
The incredible January effect (1987)
Robert Haugen on Wikipedia
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