Nate Silver Quotes

11 Sourced Quotes

New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.

Nate Silver
Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.

Nate Silver
The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.

Nate Silver
Finding patterns is easy in any kind of data-rich environment; that's what mediocre gamblers do. The key is in determining whether the patterns represent signal or noise

Nate Silver
When a possibility is unfamiliar to us, we do not even think about it.

Nate Silver
We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty.

Nate Silver
Shakespeare's plays often turn on the idea of fate, as much drama does. What makes them so tragic is the gap between what his characters might like to accomplish and what fate provides them.

Nate Silver
Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.

Nate Silver
One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.

Nate Silver
Data-driven predictions can succeed-and they can fail. It is when we deny our role in the process that the odds of failure rise. Before we demand more of our data, we need to demand more of ourselves.

Nate Silver
We need to stop, and admit it: we have a prediction problem. We love to predict things—and we aren't very good at it.

Nate Silver